Forecasting Dengue – New Study Show About Forecasting Dengue -In the study, scientists at the Indian Institute of Remote Sensing, Dehradun, used data mining tools to analyse the weather parameters before and during dengue outbreaks in Delhi.

Using two different statistical approaches –

  1. Multivariate regression
  2. Naive Bayes approach

They attempted to estimate how weather conditions may influence, intensify or lead to a more severe outbreak and which parameters are strongly correlated with this metric.

Forecasting Dengue - New Study Show About Forecasting Dengue

Forecasting Dengue – New Study Show About Forecasting Dengue

What is the study about?

  • Study focuses on changes in a factor called extrinsic incubation period (EIP) of the dengue virus, by taking
    into account daily and monthly means temperatures different climatic zones.
  • The EIP is the time taken for incubation of the virus in the mosquito.
  • During this period, after the mosquito draws blood that is rich in viruses, it escapes the gut and passes through
    the mosquito’s body and reaches its salivary glands.
  • Once this happens, the mosquito is infectious and capable of transmitting the virus to a human host.

What are the outcomes of the study?

  • Climatic conditions play an important role in EIP.
  • Lower temperatures (17-18°C) result in longer EIPs thereby leading to decreased virus transmission.
  • From 17 to 30°C, dengue transmission increases fourfold, feeding increases because of the enhanced
    metabolism of the mosquito, leading to shorter EIPs.
  • A further increase in temperature beyond 35°C is detrimental to the mosquito’s survival.
  • There is a strong correlation between rainfall and dengue numbers, they propose an increase in breeding
    grounds for mosquitoes.
  • Given its close link with both temperature and rainfall, it is possible to forecast the outbreak of dengue.

How it helps in Disease control?

  • This climate-based dengue forecasting model could help health authorities assess the disease intensity in a
    geographic region.
  • Based on this authorities can plan disease-control operations well in advance and optimise the use of
    resources meticulously.
  • Factors such as population density and migration also need to be included for future risk assessment studies.
  • This will help in mitigating the disease and strategic disease control.

Important Links

Important Links For Study Material And Test Series 

Follow Us On Facebook – Facebook Page 

The Hindu Daily News Paper Important Articles Pdf 

Join StudyDhaba.Com Telegram Channel –

Latest Current Affairs Magazine 2019 Pdf

UPSC Prelims ,Mains ,Optional Study Materials

UPSC Prelims Test Series 2020 Pdf 

UPSC Mains Test Series 2019-2020 

UPSC Optional Test Series 2019-2020 

SSC Study Materials 2019-2020 Pdf 

IBPS Study Material 2019-2020 Pdf

Insurance Exams Free Study Materials Pdf 2019

NEET Exam Free Study Material Pdf 

Latest RRB Study Material Pdf 

Teaching Exams Study Material Pdf 

EContact US  [email protected] / [email protected]
Note & Disclaimer – All Study Materials Here are shared Only For Educational Purposes .Most of The Material Is Already Available On Internet .We Are Just Sharing That Link Only  . Whole Materials Is For Education Purpose Only .We Work hard to Provide You Quality Study Materials And Error Free Study Materials For All Competitive Exams .You can Also Share Study Materials,Notes Or Any Materials With Us .We Will Publish That Material On Our Website .It is a Humble Request To All Of You Please Share This Post With Your Friends And On Social Media .