UPSC IAS Prelims 2018 Economic Survey Notes -Prelims & Mains 2018

UPSC IAS Prelims 2018 Economic Survey Notes -Prelims & Mains 2018 -Hello Friends Welcome to .Here We are sharing Economic Survey 2018 Notes For UPSC prelims and Mains 2018 Exam.UPSC IAS Prelims 2018 Economic Survey Notes -Prelims & Mains 2018

About Economic Survey

  • The Department of Economic Affairs, Finance Ministry of India presents the Economic Survey.
  • The Chief Economic Adviser, Finance Ministry guides in its preparation.
  • It is presented in the parliament every year, just before the Union Budget.
  • The survey is the finance ministry’s view on the annual economic development of the country over the previous 12 months.
  • It highlights the prospects of the economy in the short to medium term.
  • It also summarizes the performance on major development programs, and highlights the policy initiatives of the government.

UPSC IAS Prelims 2018 Economic Survey Notes

10 New Economic Facts on Indian Economy-UPSC IAS Prelims 2018 Economic Survey Notes -Prelims & Mains 2018

The Economic Survey highlights 10 new economic facts on the Indian economy based on the new data. They are as follows:


Goods and Services Tax

  • Goods and Services Tax – GST has led to a 50% increase in the number of indirect taxpayers.
  • There has been an increase in individual income tax filers as well.
  • There has also been a large increase in voluntary registrations.
  • This is especially in regards with small enterprises that buy from large enterprises.
  • Availing the benefit of input tax credits was a major reason.
  • The fear of undermined tax collections for states due to GST transition is allayed.
  • Accordingly, the distribution of the GST base among the states got closely linked to the size of their economies.
  • UPSC IAS Prelims 2018 Economic Survey Notes -Prelims & Mains 2018


 Formal Sector Payroll

  • Formal Sector payroll – India’s formal sector, especially formal non-farm payroll, is substantially greater than believed.
  • “Formality” was earlier defined in terms of social security provisions like EPFO/ESIC.
  • It is now being defined in terms of being part of the GST net.
  • This has increased the formal sector payroll share to 53% from the earlier 31% of the non-agricultural work force.

 Exports Of States

  • Exports of states – Economic Survey, for the first time, deals with data on the international exports of states.
  • The data indicates a strong correlation between export performance and states’ standard of living.
  • States that export internationally and trade with other states were found to be richer.
  • 5 States of Maharashtra, Gujarat, Karnataka, Tamil Nadu and Telangana account for 70% of India’s exports.
  • India’s internal trade is about 60% of the GDP.
  • This is comparatively greater than last year’s survey as well as other large countries.

 India Exports

  • India’s exports – The largest firms in India account for a much smaller share of exports than in other comparable countries.
  • Evidently, top 1% of Indian firms accounts only for 38% of exports.
  • This is unlike the 50-70% as in countries like Brazil, Germany, Mexico and USA.
  • The relatively smaller share by larger firms in India makes the firm export structure of India more egalitarian.
  • This is indicative of a better contribution from the smaller firms than in other countries.

 Ready made Garments

  • Ready-made garments – The Rebate of State Levies (ROSL) was announced in 2016.
  • Under the RoSL, the Centre gives garment exporters refunds against all the levies they shell out at the state level.
  • The relief was offered under the duty drawback scheme as part of the package for the garments industry in the GST regime.
  • The incentive package boosted exports of ready-made garments by about 16%.

 Male Child Preferences

  • Male child preference – The survey highlighted that Indian society still exhibited a strong desire for a male child.
  • It pointed out that most parents continued to have children until they get number of sons.
  • The survey brings out that this was resulting in skewed sex ratios.

 Tax Litigation

  • Tax Litigation – There is substantial avoidable litigation in the tax arena which government action could reduce.
  • The tax department’s petition rate is high, but its success rate in litigation is low and declining (well below 30%).
  • A smaller share of total pending cases accounted for a larger share of the money value at stake (due to the tax dispute). E.g.
  1. 0.2% of pending cases – 56% of the value at stake
  2. 66% of cases (each less than Rs 10 lakh) – 1.8% of the value at stake

 Growth And Investment

  • Growth and Investment – It was highlighted that growth in savings did not bring economic growth.
  • But the growth in investment did bring a substantial growth to the economy.
  • The survey thus emphasizes that raising investment was more important than raising savings.

 Direct Tax Collection

  • Direct tax collection – Direct tax collections by States are significantly lower than those of their counterparts in other federal countries.
  • Indian states and other local governments empowered for tax collection realise lesser collection than their actual potential.

 Climate Change

  • Climate change – Extreme temperature increases and deficiency in rainfall have been recorded as footprints of climate change.
  • These have adversely impacted agricultural yields of the country.
  • The impact was found to be twice as large in un-irrigated areas as in irrigated ones.

UPSC IAS Prelims 2018 Economic Survey Notes -Prelims & Mains 2018

In this Section we will talk about Second Part of Indian Economic Survey 2017-2018 . In This Section we will talk About Following Topics.

  • Economic Growth
  • Inflation
  • Monetary Management
  • Tax Collections
  • Banking Sector
  • External Sector
  • Foreign Direct Investment
  • Trade Policy
  • Industrial Sector
  • Ease of Doing Business
  • Services Sector

Economic Growth

  • Projections – The survey forecasts real GDP growth to reach 6.75% this fiscal.
  • It is projected to rise to 7 – 7.5% in 2018-19.
  • There was a reversal of the declining trend of GDP growth in the second quarter of 2017-18, led by the industry sector.
  • This could re-instate India as the world’s fastest growing major economy.
  • The Gross Value Added (GVA) at constant basic prices is expected to grow at 6.1 % in 2017-18, as against the 6.6% in 2016-17.
  • Agriculture, industry and services sectors are expected to grow at 2.1, 4.4 and 8.3 percentages respectively in 2017-18.
  • Factors – The growth projections were based on the various reform measures undertaken in the recent years.
  • It includes GST, resolution of the Twin Balance Sheet (TBS) problem through IBC, recapitalization package for PSBs.
  • Also, with liberalization of FDI and export uplift from the global recovery, the economy began to accelerate in the second half.

Comparative Performance

  • India’s average GDP growth during last 3 years is around 4 percentage points higher than the global growth.
  • India’s growth averaged to 7.3% in 2014-15 to 2017-18 period.
  • Lower inflation, improved current account balance and reduction in the fiscal deficit to GDP ratio are notable factors behind.
  • The survey thus points out that India can be rated as among the best performing economies in the world.

NoteAlways Focus on this type of Statements . This Type of Statement were asked in previous years ias exams.

Way Ahead – The agenda for the next year to ensure a favourable growth trend has been charted out as:

  1. stabilizing the GST
  2. completing the TBS actions
  3. reducing unviable banks and allowing greater private sector participation
  4. privatizing Air India
  5. staving off threats to macro-economic stability

Over the medium term, three areas of policy focus are spelt out:

  1. Employment – for the young and burgeoning workforce, especially women
  2. Education – creating an educated and healthy labour force
  3. Agriculture – raising farm productivity and strengthening agricultural resilience
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